Sex offender risk assessment, as used in California, is an empirical way of measuring risk of re-offense by group. It is the same actuarial method that is used to determine risk in setting rates for life insurance and car insurance.
Actuarial risk tools are commonly used in corrections and forensic mental health settings. Given their widespread use, it is important that evaluators and decision-makers understand how scores on these tools relate to recidivism risk.
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